{"id":1955,"date":"2017-07-12T12:26:39","date_gmt":"2017-07-12T09:26:39","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/anticorr.media\/?p=1955"},"modified":"2017-07-19T23:31:10","modified_gmt":"2017-07-19T20:31:10","slug":"pakistan-obvineniya-premer-ministra-strany-v-korrupcii-vyzvali-obval-na-birzhe","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/anticorr.media\/en\/pakistan-obvineniya-premer-ministra-strany-v-korrupcii-vyzvali-obval-na-birzhe\/","title":{"rendered":"Corruption Crushes Pakistani Stocks, And That’s Just The Beginning"},"content":{"rendered":"

This material belongs to: Forbes<\/a>.<\/p>\n

Allegations that corruption is reaching to the highest level of the Sharif\u00a0government crushed Pakistani stocks on Tuesday. The KSE 100\u00a0dropped<\/a>\u00a02153 points or 4.65% to 44121 from 46274 in the previous trading session, well below its all time high of 52876.46 in May of 2017.<\/strong><\/p>\n

Pakistan\u2019s stock market has been on a tear in recent years. The country\u2019s main KSE index has gained\u00a0close to 400% since 2009, and 40% in 2016 alone\u2014leaving neighboring markets in the dust.<\/p>\n

Pakistan\u2019s equities\u00a0have\u00a0had a number of things going their way, like an improving macroeconomic environment\u2014rising economic growth and falling inflation and interest rates. The country\u2019s economy grew close to 6 percent in 2016, up from 4.8 percent in 2015, with inflation running around 4 percent, down from 10 percent four years ago. And the 10-year Treasury bond\u00a0has\u00a0yielded\u00a08 percent, down from 12.5 percent four years ago.<\/p>\n

<\/div>\n
\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
Index\/Fund<\/strong><\/td>\n12-month Performance<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Global X MSCI Pakistan (PAK)<\/strong><\/td>\n29.25%<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
IShares China (FXI)<\/td>\n10.28%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
iShares S&P India 50 (INDY)<\/td>\n0.93%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
iShares\u00a0MSCI\u00a0Emerging\u00a0Markets\u00a0 (EEM)<\/td>\n7.75%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n

Source: Finance.yahoo.com 12\/23\/2016<\/p>\n

Then there are\u00a0a couple of overseas endorsements for Pakistan\u2019s market reforms. Like $1 billion in support from the World Bank\u00a0\u2013\u00a0and a couple of domestic acquisitions from foreign suitors, such as\u00a0the acquisition of Karachi\u2019s K-Electric by Shanghai Electric Power Co.<\/p>\n

Another overseas endorsement was\u00a0the inclusion of Pakistan\u2019s market into MSCI\u2019s emerging market index.<\/p>\n

In recent months, Pakistani equities have had a couple of things going against them. In particular,\u00a0allegations<\/a>\u00a0that corruption is reaching the highest levels of the Pakistani government, spooking investors who are afraid of chaos descending on the country.<\/p>\n

\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
Index\/Fund<\/strong><\/td>\n3-month Performance<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Global X MSCI Pakistan (PAK)<\/strong><\/td>\n-11.26%<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
IShares China (FXI)<\/td>\n5.11%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
iShares S&P India 50 (INDY)<\/td>\n6.55%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
iShares\u00a0MSCI\u00a0Emerging\u00a0Markets\u00a0 (EEM)<\/td>\n6.52%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n

Source: Finance.yahoo.com 7\/11\/2017<\/p>\n

Corruption and cronyism usually lead to large government budget and current account deficits, while constraining\u00a0competition and technological progress. In spite of some progress in the last five years, Pakistan is still high up on Transparency International\u2019s Corruption Index.<\/p>\n

\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
Country<\/strong><\/td>\nCorruption Index in 2010<\/strong><\/td>\nCorruption Index in 2015<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Pakistan<\/td>\n143\/168<\/td>\n117\/168<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
India<\/td>\n87<\/td>\n76<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Estonia<\/td>\n26<\/td>\n23<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
USA<\/td>\n22<\/td>\n16<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n

Source: Transparency\u00a0International<\/em><\/p>\n

Adding to these concerns over the future of Pakistan\u2019s equities is rising US interest rates, which come at a time when the country\u00a0is\u00a0already living\u00a0beyond its means, as evidenced by persistent current account deficits, government debt, and external debt.<\/strong><\/p>\n

Pakistan recorded a Current Account deficit of 1.20 percent of the country’s GDP in 2016 fiscal year (July 2015 – June 2016), according to\u00a0Tradingeconomics<\/a>.com. In July – Dec 2016, the current account deficit was recorded at 2.2 percent of the country’s Gross Domestic Product. Current Account to GDP in Pakistan averaged -2.20 percent from 1980 until 2016.<\/p>\n

Pakistan amassed a government debt equivalent to 66.50 percent of the country’s Gross Domestic Product in 2016. Government Debt to GDP in Pakistan averaged 69.39 percent from 1994 until 2016.<\/p>\n

External Debt in Pakistan increased to 75747 USD Million in the first quarter of 2017 from 74126 USD Million in the fourth quarter of 2016. The country\u2019s external debt averaged 51689.12 USD Million from 2002 until 2017.<\/p>\n

Meanwhile, foreign Exchange Reserves in Pakistan decreased to 21019.20 USD Million in April from 21572.10 USD Million in March of 2017. Foreign Exchange Reserves in Pakistan averaged 15573.05 USD Million from 1998 until 2017.<\/p>\n

Pakistan amassed a capital and financial account deficit of 989 USD Million in the first quarter of 2017. Capital Flows in Pakistan averaged -782.17 USD Million from 2011 until 2017.<\/p>\n

That\u2019s why investors should think twice before\u00a0pouring more money into Pakistani stocks s at this point.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

This material belongs to: Forbes. Allegations that corruption is reaching to the highest level of the Sharif\u00a0government crushed Pakistani stocks on Tuesday. The KSE 100\u00a0dropped\u00a02153 points or 4.65% to 44121 from 46274 in the previous trading session, well below its all time high of 52876.46 in May of 2017. Pakistan\u2019s stock market has been on […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":1956,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[60,3],"tags":[58,64,104,180,118,63,78,188],"class_list":["post-1955","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mnenie-eksperta","category-review","tag-politiki","tag-antikorrupcionnaya-politika","tag-korrupciya-v-politike","tag-pakistan","tag-politicheskaya-korrupciya","tag-protivodejstvie-korrupcii","tag-chinovniki","tag-ekonomika","has-thumb"],"translation":{"provider":"WPGlobus","version":"3.0.2","language":"en","enabled_languages":["ru","en"],"languages":{"ru":{"title":true,"content":true,"excerpt":false},"en":{"title":true,"content":true,"excerpt":false}}},"yoast_head":"\nCorruption Crushes Pakistani Stocks, And That's Just The Beginning - Anticorr.media<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" 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